ImmigrationClockFacts first
ImmigrationClock explains · How we work

How ImmigrationClock labels a number

Every figure says how it was made.

The facts

  1. A figure labelled "reported" is one an agency published, or a fact about ImmigrationClock's own archive that can be counted exactly.
  2. "Projected" means a current, incomplete period extended to a full-period pace. "Estimated" means derived from a published share of a published total. "Modeled" means built from ImmigrationClock's own assumptions.
  3. Every figure also carries how complete its period is, and each source's known limitations are shown beside it rather than left for a reader to discover.
  4. The social account follows the same rule: a post may state a reported figure, and never a projected, estimated or modeled one.

Why it matters

A number without a label is a number a reader has to take on trust. The label is what lets a reader decide how much weight it can carry.

Sources

Every sentence above was written by a person from these sources and last checked against them on Sep 2, 2026.

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Methodology & sources
Explainers describe how the system works. They are not advice about any individual case, and they never tell anyone what to do. See all explainers for the rest of the set. Read the full methodology →